Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Arthur Fils		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.43
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	2.43 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
60.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	0%	31%

Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 40%). Tsitsipas (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tsitsipas (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 31. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fils might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fils won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Arthur Fils - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.26	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Fils	Prizmic D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWW?
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
11.05.25	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	Tsitsipas S. retired
ATP Basel
25.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Antwerp
21.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	0:2

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