Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Molcan		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.41	1.36
	3.16	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.28	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
28.9%

Alexander Bublik
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 166. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Molcan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Munich
12.04.26	Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Gabriel Diallo - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alex Molcan - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W?LWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

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