Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Ben Shelton		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.49	2.82
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
66.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ben Shelton - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Shelton (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 9. Tirante is ranked ATP: 83.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shelton might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Ben Shelton - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Ben Shelton - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
15.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?LW

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