Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Martin Damm

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.62	1.54
	2.51	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.63	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.68)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37.6%

Martin Damm
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Damm will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Damm (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67. Damm is ranked ATP: 129.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Damm could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Damm - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.21%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Remy Bertola - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
07.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Martin Damm - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Martin Damm - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide