Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AIX EN PROVENCE (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Alexander Bublik		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.58	2.43
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.48	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)	2.43 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
61.3%

Otto Virtanen
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Alexander Bublik - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Virtanen will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 64.6% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Alexander Bublik - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Max Purcell - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches