Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.71	2.06	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
53.9%

Colton Smith
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tristan Schoolkate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 103. Smith is ranked ATP: 136.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Colton Smith - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Colton Smith - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Colton Smith - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide