Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Ugo Humbert		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.94	1.87	Watch
	2.1	1.81
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.54)	1.86 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
48.8%

Alex Michelsen
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ugo Humbert - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 34. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
02.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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