Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alexandre Muller		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.7	2.34
	1.59	2.36	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.68	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
58.5%

Jan-Lennard Struff
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Alexandre Muller - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 95. Struff is ranked ATP: 81.

Recent performances by Muller have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Struff is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Muller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Darwin Blanch - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	James Duckworth - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
03.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexandre Muller	2:1

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