Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Alexandre Muller		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.77	Watch
	2.71	1.46	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.07	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
44.5%

Marcos Giron
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Giron (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcos Giron will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Giron (votes: 29 - 87.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 52. Giron is ranked ATP: 64.

Muller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giron will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Marcos Giron - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
06.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Hong Kong
10.01.26	Marcos Giron - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Marcos Giron - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
08.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Laslo Djere - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
06.11.25	Marcos Giron - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Alexandre Muller - Marcos Giron	0:2

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