Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Alexandre Muller		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.81
	1.97	1.93
	1.93	1.86	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.83	Watch
	2.01	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.32)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
47.8%

Ugo Humbert
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	0%	70.4%

Alexandre Muller - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Humbert will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Humbert (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 39. Humbert is ranked ATP: 22.

One and the other player are in an unacceptable form.

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	David Goffin - Alexandre Muller	Goffin D. retired ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LLWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Munich
17.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches