Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Daniil Medvedev		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.3
	1.33	3.52
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.17	Watch
	1.34	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	3.26 ↓ (3.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
70.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Daniil Medvedev - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 126.

Recent matches Medvedev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Valentin Royer - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL

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