Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Andrey Rublev		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.08	7.25	Watch
	1.09	6.96	Watch
	1.1	8.36
	1.09	6.89	Watch
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.1	7.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 (1.09)	7.23 ↑ (5.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
86.8%

Hugo Gaston
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gaston will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Gaston will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 11. Gaston is ranked ATP: 126.

Rublev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gaston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston	Bellucci M. retired ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Radu Albot - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LLWL

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