Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Andrey Rublev		Miomir Kecmanovic

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.47	3.07
	1.4	2.96	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.32)	2.95 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
67.5%

Miomir Kecmanovic
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Andrey Rublev - Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Kecmanovic will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 14. Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 70.

In recent matches, Rublev has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kecmanovic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kecmanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Terence Atmane - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
26.03.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Doha
10.01.20	Miomir Kecmanovic - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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