Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Juncheng Shang		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.26
	3.9	1.26	Watch
	4.03	1.29
	3.89	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.78)	1.26 ↑ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
24.5%

Andrey Rublev
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

83.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rublev will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 281. Rublev is ranked ATP: 16.

In recent matches, Rublev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rublev is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Montreal
02.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Kei Nishikori - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juncheng Shang	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Estoril
24.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
06.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Juncheng Shang	2:1

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