Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Laver Cup, hard

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Eurosport 2


	Jakub Mensik		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.61	2.17
	1.08	7.84	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.56	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	3.39 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
69.4%

Alex Michelsen
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jakub Mensik - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jakub Mensik will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 32.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mensik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ugo Blanchet	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi	Mensik J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLW?
- Alex Michelsen
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

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