Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday ⏱️ In 11h 25m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Fery		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2.00
	1.82	1.96
	1.84	1.89	Watch
	1.79	1.92
	1.9	1.95	Watch
	1.82	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.34)	1.95 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
51.8%

Jacob Fearnley
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Arthur Fery - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fearnley will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 34., and Fearnley is ranked ATP: 87..

Recent results have been tough for Fery (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fearnley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fery could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Fearnley is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fery - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.15%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Lyon
20.10.26	Arthur Fery - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Arthur Fery - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Jaime Faria - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Fery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWL?
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Vienna
25.10.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
24.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Brussels
21.10.26	Clement Chidekh - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Arthur Fery - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide