Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lorenzo Sonego		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.17	1.66
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	1.96	1.83
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
45.6%

Jacob Fearnley
54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lorenzo Sonego have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Jacob Fearnley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Lorenzo Sonego - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 89., and Fearnley is ranked ATP: 87..

Sonego is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Fearnley have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sonego could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.38%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Vienna
24.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
19.10.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
25.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Vienna
24.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Brussels
21.10.26	Clement Chidekh - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Lorenzo Sonego - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide