Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished 📅 Remind Me

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	22:40	Max Sport 2
Denmark	21:40	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:40	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:40	beIN Sports MAX 9
Romania	22:40	Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	21:40	TV4 Play
United Kingdom	20:40	Sky Sports Tennis


	Luca Van Assche		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.85	1.41
	2.98	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.65)	1.41 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
33.1%

Lorenzo Musetti
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Musetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luca Van Assche - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Musetti will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 48., and Musetti is ranked ATP: 26..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Van Assche may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Musetti for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Van Assche has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.19%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Lyon
22.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
20.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Arthur Fils - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Lyon
21.10.26	Moise Kouame - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Yi Zhou - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Fery	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Luca Van Assche	2:3

Luca Van Assche - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide