Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Arthur Gea		Kyrian Jacquet

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.63)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
47.6%

Kyrian Jacquet
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyrian Jacquet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyrian Jacquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Arthur Gea - Kyrian Jacquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Jacquet will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 144. Jacquet is ranked ATP: 146.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Jelle Sels - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Mees Rottgering - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches