Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Arthur Rinderknech		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.63	2.41
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.41	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	2.34 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
59.5%

Alex Michelsen
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Rinderknech's performance.

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Michelsen will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Rinderknech (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 27. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 35.

Rinderknech is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Michelsen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Terence Atmane - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	Rinderknech A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLL?
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0
ATP Paris
30.10.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0

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