Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Alex Michelsen		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
58.4%

Cameron Norrie
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cameron Norrie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Alex Michelsen - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Norrie will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 40. Norrie is ranked ATP: 24.

Michelsen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrie has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Michelsen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	0:2
ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	2:1

Alex Michelsen - Cameron Norrie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide