Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.14	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
43.9%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 70. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 19.

Recent matches Navone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aliassime-Auger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?LW?L
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jenson Brooksby - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches