Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.96	1.44
	3.26	1.29	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.45)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
31.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 285. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 165.

Kukushkin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carballes Baena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carballes Baena might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kukushkin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. walkover ✺
24.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
18.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 W??LW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
07.05.18	Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0

Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide