Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.06	1.84
	2.06	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.18	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
45.4%

Matteo Arnaldi
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van De Zandschulp: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Van De Zandschulp (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Van De Zandschulp (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Van De Zandschulp (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Van De Zandschulp (votes: 6 - 75%). Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 92. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 62.

Van De Zandschulp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arnaldi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van De Zandschulp won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Botic Van De Zandschulp - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.37%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Clement Tabur	Canceled ✺
02.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?LWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:3

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