Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Brandon Nakashima		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.41	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.6
	2.34	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.49)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
39.6%

Flavio Cobolli
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Brandon Nakashima - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Flavio Cobolli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 36.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cobolli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Rune H. retired ✺
23.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WLLW

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