Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Romania	Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Flavio Cobolli		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
			Watch
	2.42	1.56	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 (2.42)	1.56 (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
39.2%

Brandon Nakashima
60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Flavio Cobolli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Brandon Nakashima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 6., and Nakashima is ranked ATP: 17..

Recent results have been tough for Cobolli (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Nakashima have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cobolli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nakashima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cobolli has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Lyon
22.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Roman Safiullin - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
26.09.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Lyon
22.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Matteo Berrettini - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Flavio Cobolli	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Lyon
22.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	✺
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Lyon
22.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Brandon Nakashima	✺

Flavio Cobolli - Brandon Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide