Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Casper Ruud		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.35	Watch
	1.33	3.66
	1.34	3.41	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.43 ↑ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
72.1%

Alexander Blockx
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	0%	16.1%

Casper Ruud - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 2 - 50%). Blockx (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 15. Blockx is ranked ATP: 69.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Blockx may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ruud is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 67.19%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW
- Alexander Blockx
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWW?

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