Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.81	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	1.94	1.82	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.95	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.7)	1.82 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
47.9%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 69.

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerundolo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LWLL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. Retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.21	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:1
ITF Tournaments
16.01.20	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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