Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Colton Smith		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.56	1.52	Watch
			Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.9)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
40.3%

Learner Tien
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colton Smith's form might have worsened.

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Learner Tien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colton Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Learner Tien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colton Smith - Learner Tien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 139. Tien is ranked ATP: 67.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Colton Smith - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Colton Smith - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Colton Smith - Govind Nanda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Learner Tien - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW

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