Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Alex Michelsen		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.69	2.27
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
57.8%

Ethan Quinn
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alex Michelsen - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Quinn will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Quinn (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Quinn (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 32. Quinn is ranked ATP: 81.

Michelsen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Quinn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Quinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michelsen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Laver Cup
19.09.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Mattia Bellucci - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jerome Kym - Ethan Quinn	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.06.22	Ethan Quinn - Alex Michelsen	2:1

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