Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Elmer Moller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.34
	1.32	3.24	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.27)	3.3 ↓ (3.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
71.3%

Elmer Moller
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Moller will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moller: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 145. Moller is ranked ATP: 169.

Llamas Ruiz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moller has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llamas Ruiz is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llamas Ruiz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.26	Elmer Moller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Elmer Moller - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Elmer Moller - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled

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