Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.28	1.61	Watch
	2.23	1.63
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.28	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.91)	1.61 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
41.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Martinez Portero (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Users Predictions: Pedro Martinez Portero will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 62. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 94.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martinez Portero might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Damir Dzumhur	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Liam Draxl - Damir Dzumhur	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWL?
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bucharest
04.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. retired
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

Upcoming Matches