Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.89
	1.89	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.69)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
50%

Alexey Vatutin
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vatutin will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 335. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 313.

Merida Aguilar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vatutin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Merida Aguilar could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Facundo Mena - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Alexey Vatutin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide