Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Daniel Vallejo		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.97	1.93
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)	1.9 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
50.8%

Jaume Munar
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaume Munar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaume Munar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Daniel Vallejo - Jaume Munar Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Munar will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Munar: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Munar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 84. Munar is ranked ATP: 38.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vallejo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Daniel Vallejo - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Jaume Munar
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jaume Munar	Munar J. Walkover ✺
14.05.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Jaume Munar - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLLW

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