Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	3.95	1.26
	3.64	1.26	Watch
			Watch
	3.97	1.27	Watch
	3.7	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.64)	1.26 (1.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
24.3%

Daniil Medvedev
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Medvedev (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Sonego (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 45. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
20.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
28.10.25	Jaume Munar - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Daniil Medvedev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Daniil Medvedev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ATP Adelaide
02.01.23	Daniil Medvedev - Lorenzo Sonego	Sonego L. retired

Upcoming Matches