Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Daniil Medvedev		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.11	6.8	Watch
	1.1	6.98	Watch
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.11	6.84	Watch
	1.08	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.13)	6.94 ↑ (6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
86.3%

Quentin Halys
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Daniil Medvedev - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Halys will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Halys (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Halys (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7 Games - Halys (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 25%). Halys (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 12. Halys is ranked ATP: 83.

Medvedev is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Halys is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jesper De Jong	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
11.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Quentin Halys
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Quentin Halys - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Tomas Machac - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
18.06.25	Quentin Halys - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Miami
29.03.23	Quentin Halys - Daniil Medvedev	0:2

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