Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:35	ESPN
Belgium	01:35	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:35	HBO Max
Brazil	21:35	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:35	HBO Max
Canada	19:35	RDS App
Colombia	19:35	ESPN
Croatia	01:35	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:35	HBO Max
Denmark	01:35	HBO Max
Finland	02:35	HBO Max
France	01:35	HBO Max
Hungary	01:35	HBO Max
Mexico	18:35	ESPN
Moldova	02:35	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:35	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:35	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:35	HBO Max
Norway	01:35	HBO Max
Peru	19:35	ESPN
Poland	01:35	HBO Max
Romania	02:35	HBO Max
Serbia	01:35	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:35	HBO Max
Spain	01:35	HBO Max
Sweden	01:35	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:35	Discovery+
Usa	19:35	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:35	ESPN


	Daniil Medvedev		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.04	13	Watch
	1.04	11	Watch
	1.04	10.98	Watch
	1.05	10
	1.05	10.9	Watch
	1.05	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.06)	10.98 ↑ (7.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
91.3%

Jesper De Jong
8.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniil Medvedev - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 75%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13. De Jong is ranked ATP: 71.

Medvedev is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Brisbane
11.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Jesper De Jong - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Jesper De Jong - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Daniil Medvedev - Jesper De Jong