Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Darya Kasatkina		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.55	Watch
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.87)	1.56 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
39.1%

Maria Sakkari
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Sakkari's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Sakkari will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Sakkari (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 40. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 51.

Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Sonay Kartal - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
18.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
30.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Maria Sakkari
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Cori Gauff - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Emma Raducanu - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
WTA Tokyo
20.10.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Maria Sakkari - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Berlin
17.06.22	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	0:2
WTA Madrid
01.05.22	Maria Sakkari - Darya Kasatkina	1:2
WTA Montreal
07.08.18	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.18	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:1
WTA Bucharest
13.07.15	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:0

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