Match Info

Date: 28 June 2021, Monday


	Denis Kudla		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.97	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	2.04	1.87
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.68)	1.85 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
48.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Kudla's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Kudla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Denis Kudla - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Kudla will win (104 of 130 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.12% – 86.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Kudla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.21	Denis Kudla - Federico Gaio	3:0 ✺
23.06.21	Denis Kudla - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
22.06.21	Denis Kudla - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.21	Kamil Majchrzak - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
17.06.21	Federico Gaio - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Vasek Pospisil	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
22.06.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0 ✺
06.06.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Federico Delbonis	3:1 ✺
04.06.21	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?WLWW

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