Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Denis Shapovalov		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.54
	1.58	2.55
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.54	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	2.47 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
61.4%

Francis Tiafoe
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Denis Shapovalov - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 4.

Two players are playing changeable.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Luca Van Assche - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Denis Shapovalov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Federico Coria - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Luciano Darderi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Mattia Bellucci - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
21.05.24	Jaume Munar - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
11.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP London
19.06.21	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Shanghai
07.10.19	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Miami
28.03.19	Denis Shapovalov - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.18	Francis Tiafoe - Denis Shapovalov	1:2
ATP Delray Beach
24.02.18	Denis Shapovalov - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Challenger
09.08.16	Denis Shapovalov - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled

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