Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Elina Svitolina		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	3.15
	1.36	3.16	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.43	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
68.4%

Hailey Baptiste
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Svitolina will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Baptiste will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baptiste: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baptiste (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svitolina is ranked WTA: 10. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 25.

Recent performances by Svitolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baptiste is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baptiste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Svitolina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svitolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Elina Svitolina - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 69.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Anna Bondar - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.26	Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Linda Noskova - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Eva Lys - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Simona Waltert - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
30.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
22.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	0:2
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	2:1

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