Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Elise Mertens		Cristina Bucsa

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.82
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)	2.75 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
65.4%

Cristina Bucsa
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elise Mertens's performance.

Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cristina Bucsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mertens will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bucsa will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 21. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 31.

Mertens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bucsa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mertens might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mertens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cristina Bucsa - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Cori Gauff - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Marie Bouzkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Darya Kasatkina - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.26	Cristina Bucsa - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
01.03.26	Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Cristina Bucsa - Marina Stakusic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Osaka
14.10.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0
WTA US Open
29.08.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	1:2
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0
WTA Beijing
30.09.24	Cristina Bucsa - Elise Mertens	2:1

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