Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Arthur Fils		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.16	5.4
	1.16	6.31
	1.15	5.44	Watch
	1.14	5.5
	1.16	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.2)	5.68 ↑ (4.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
83.1%

Emilio Nava
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Arthur Fils - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 25. Nava is ranked ATP: 116.

Fils has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fils is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fils won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Jenson Brooksby - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Emilio Nava - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Emilio Nava - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.22	Arthur Fils - Emilio Nava	1:2

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