Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Valentin Vacherot		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.71	2.28
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.69	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
57.4%

Hubert Hurkacz
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Valentin Vacherot - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 23. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 74.

Vacherot is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hurkacz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vacherot might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WW?LW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL

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