Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.46
	2.79	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.43	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.06)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
34.5%

Joao Fonseca
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fonseca will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 50%). Fonseca (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Fonseca (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fonseca (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 39. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 40.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fonseca could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Fonseca - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.08%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2

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