Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Ethan Quinn		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.74
	2.12	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.16)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethan Quinn
44.8%

Hubert Hurkacz
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ethan Quinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubert Hurkacz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ethan Quinn - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Quinn will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 11 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quinn: 60.5% – 87.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Quinn (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 6 - 75%). Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quinn is ranked ATP: 56. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 75.

Quinn is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hurkacz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Quinn will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quinn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ethan Quinn - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethan Quinn
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Billy Harris - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Ethan Quinn	0:3

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