Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Eurosport 2


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.56	2.36
	1.64	2.46
	1.6	2.4	Watch
	1.61	2.4
	1.62	2.47	Watch
	1.59	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.43)	2.41 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
60.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felix Aliassime-Auger's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 50%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 4. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 4.

Aliassime-Auger is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Davidovich Fokina is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.94%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Michael Zheng	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Dino Prizmic	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Shevchenko	3:0 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Learner Tien - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Fabian Marozsan	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:2
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
29.06.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP Doha
23.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Roma
10.05.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.04.18	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

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