Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Learner Tien		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.70
	2.15	1.70
	2.18	1.80
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
43.6%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Learner Tien - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Aliassime-Auger (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 19. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 4.

Tien is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Aliassime-Auger has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Max Schoenhaus - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
26.05.26	Christian Garin - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.26	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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