Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Arthur Fils		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.68
	2.29	1.7
	2.29	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.83)	1.68 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
43%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Aliassime-Auger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Aliassime-Auger (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 32. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 9.

In recent matches, Fils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fils won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.55%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Fils	Prizmic D. retired ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W??LW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Lyon
25.05.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	Fils A. walkover

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