Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.47	1.61
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
40.1%

Casper Ruud
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	0%	76.7%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 7. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3.

Now, both players are in good form.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ruud will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Ruud will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WW?LW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	3:1 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Casper Ruud - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.22	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Montreal
12.08.22	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Madrid
04.05.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Miami
21.03.19	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	2:1

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